|q⟩ Bad Qubits

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Predict the output
This circuit is sampled for 1024 shots on the seeded simulator (seed 9209). How many of the shots come out |10⟩? Estimate P(|10⟩) × 1024 and pick the closest option.
⚛ The apparatus
const theta = Math.PI / 2;
const c = circuit(2);
c.x(1);            // |01>
c.cx(1, 0);
c.ry(theta / 2, 1);
c.cx(0, 1);
c.ry(-theta / 2, 1);
c.cx(0, 1);
c.cx(1, 0);
return c;

Commit your prediction for counts of |10⟩ over 1024 shots — then run it.